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notes from ecology, evolution and statistics by Florian Hartig

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Tag Archives: Simulation-based inference

Explaining the ABC-Rejection Algorithm in R

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is an umbrella term for a class of algorithms and ideas that allow performing an approximate estimation of the likelihood / posterior for stochastic simulation models when the likelihood cannot be explicitly calculated (intractable likelihood). To give you the idea in a nutshell: to approximate the likelihood, consider that for a…

June 2, 2014 in Bayesian, Statistics.

Approximate Bayesian inference via synthetic likelihood for a process-based forest model

I just arXived the final version of our technical note “Approximate Bayesian parameterization of a process-based tropical forest model” (coauthored with Claudia Dislich, Thorsten Wiegand and Andreas Huth) that is now accepted and will appear in Biogeosciences soon. There have been a few minor changes in response to reviewer comments on a discussion version of…

February 4, 2014 in Ecology, Statistics.

Simulation-based inference using “synthetic” likelihoods in an epidemiological model

There’s been too many interesting papers in the last weeks for a lone blogger to cover, so I’m glad that other interesting stuff has been discussed elsewhere, e.g. by EEB & flow on the controversy around “Novel Ecosystems”, NIBMS explaining us why there may be no species below 1 mm, and Nature reporting on the…

September 6, 2013 in Ecology, Statistics.

The EasyABC package for Approximate Bayesian Computation in R

A comment on a recent post gave me the motivation to try out the new EasyABC package for R, developed by Franck Jabot, Thierry Faure, Nicolas Dumoulin and maintained by Nicolas Dumoulin. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a relatively new method that allows treating any stochastic model (IBM, stochastic population model, …) in a statistical…

December 2, 2012 in Bayesian, MCMC, Programming, R, Statistics.

Probabilistic models in statistical analysis – mechanism or phenomenology?

It can scarcely be denied that the supreme goal of all theory is to make the irreducible basic elements as simple and as few as possible without having to surrender the adequate representation of a single datum of experience. (From “On the Method of Theoretical Physics,” the Herbert Spencer Lecture, Oxford, June 10, 1933.) I…

June 1, 2012 in Ecology, Philosophy of science, Statistics.

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Academic journals Academic life Academic publishing Approximate bayesian computation (ABC) Article retraction Bayesian basics Bayesian inference Bayesian statistics Bibliometrics Big data Carsten Dormann Climate change Coexistence mechanisms Conservation biology DHARMa Diversity patterns Dynamic vegetation models (DVMs) Ecological modeling Ecosystem services Extinction risk Forest models Freiburg Generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) Hierachical Bayesian impact factor Individual-based models intractable likelihood Inverse modelling ISI JAGS Journal Citation Report Journal of Biogeography mcmc Model selection Nature open access OpenBugs Open data Peer review Phylogenetics pnas power law Psychology Publications Florian Hartig Reproducibility Residual diagnostics Science mag Scientific writing Scientometrics Simulation-based inference Special issue: the niche as a window to biodiversity Speciation Species distribution models (SDMs) State space models statistical inference Statistics stochastic simulation Submitted to R-bloggers Summer school Bayesian statistics Teaching

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